In a 33-minute interview with Karan Thapar for The Wire, Dr. Murad Banaji also spoke about estimates by Indian and foreign institutions regarding how the death toll will increase in the coming months. He said an estimate by the Indian Institute of Science in Bangalore, predicting 404,000 official recorded deaths by mid-June, could very well be right and he does not believe it’s exaggerated.
Commenting on two estimates done by IHME in Washington, the first predicting 1,018,879 deaths by the end of July and a very recent one (released 2-3 days ago) predicting 1.4 million deaths by September, Dr. Banaji pointed out that the IHME estimates include both official and unrecorded deaths and, second, the IHME believes that unrecorded deaths will be three times greater than recorded ones.
